Stern vs Staaken analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
70.2%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.3%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
HZE
1 - 0
SFC
89%
8%
3%
|
19 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SFC
1 - 0
SEE
63%
18%
19%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
LFC
1 - 1
SFC
69%
17%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
RSV
5 - 0
SFC
83%
11%
6%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
SFC
2 - 2
MAH
23%
21%
56%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Staaken
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
SCS
3 - 0
MSV
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
MSV
1 - 1
SCS
32%
22%
45%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
BWB
2 - 0
SCS
56%
21%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2022 |
SCS
3 - 0
LAS
85%
11%
5%
|
36 | 16 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2022 |
HAN
1 - 1
SCS
44%
23%
33%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | 0 |