Stern vs BFC Preussen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
59.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
SDC
3 - 2
SFC
63%
18%
19%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 2
SSC
57%
20%
24%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 0
ALT
35%
22%
43%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
SFC
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
FCW
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
BFC Preussen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
PRE
3 - 0
FCW
75%
15%
10%
|
49 | 22 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 3
PRE
11%
16%
72%
|
48 | 21 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
PRE
5 - 1
TSV
75%
16%
9%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
HIL
0 - 7
PRE
19%
23%
58%
|
48 | 23 | 25 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PRE
2 - 0
BWB
58%
21%
21%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |