Stern vs Altglienicke II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.6%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
42.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
SVE
1 - 2
SFC
39%
22%
39%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
FCW
53%
20%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FRO
1 - 1
SFC
34%
22%
44%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 0
TSV
53%
21%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 4
TBD
49%
21%
30%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Altglienicke II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
SSC
0 - 0
ALT
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
1 - 3
SVE
76%
14%
10%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
REI
1 - 0
ALT
69%
16%
14%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FCW
2 - 3
ALT
31%
21%
47%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ALT
3 - 2
FRO
74%
15%
11%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |