Minerva vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
59.9%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 May. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
OLI
41%
24%
35%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
MIN
49%
24%
27%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
MIN
2 - 1
CFC
47%
24%
29%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
PUL
2 - 1
MIN
64%
21%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
0 - 1
LOR
20%
24%
56%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
AGU
1 - 3
LOR
32%
27%
42%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 3
UCA
21%
24%
55%
|
40 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
UNV
57%
22%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jun. 2019 |
UNV
1 - 0
LOR
31%
26%
43%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2019 |
LOR
3 - 0
SAR
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |