Minerva vs Lorca Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
56.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIN
47%
24%
30%
|
25 | 24 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 0
AGU
26%
25%
49%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
IMP
2 - 1
MIN
48%
24%
28%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
MIN
1 - 2
MUL
54%
23%
23%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MAZ
0 - 0
MIN
42%
25%
34%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lorca Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
UCA
75%
16%
9%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
0 - 1
LOR
85%
11%
4%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 0
LAU
83%
12%
5%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CIE
0 - 1
LOR
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 21 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
LOR
2 - 1
MAR
62%
20%
18%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | +1 |