Minerva vs Villa de Fortuna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.3%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
36.1%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ROL
1 - 7
MIN
8%
16%
75%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
LOR
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
ALC
2 - 1
MIN
32%
24%
44%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 0
LOR
85%
12%
4%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
EFA
0 - 2
MIN
5%
14%
81%
|
22 | 7 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Villa de Fortuna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
CLU
1 - 3
VIL
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 0
PLU
66%
19%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
YEC
1 - 1
VIL
24%
23%
52%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 1
CDB
59%
20%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2022 |
CIE
3 - 2
VIL
36%
25%
39%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -1 |