Minerva vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
38.2%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
MAZ
1 - 1
MIN
50%
23%
27%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
MIN
3 - 0
OLI
60%
22%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
ROL
1 - 7
MIN
8%
16%
75%
|
22 | 10 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MIN
4 - 0
LOR
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
AFC
50%
23%
27%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
ALG
1 - 0
BAL
11%
19%
70%
|
24 | 14 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
ARC
37%
24%
39%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 0
CFC
63%
20%
16%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 2
UCA
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | -1 |