Minerva vs Bala Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.6%
14.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 1
MIN
29%
22%
49%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 0
ABA
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 1
UDL
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
RMC
1 - 5
MIN
40%
23%
37%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
MIN
3 - 3
CAR
69%
17%
14%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Bala Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
BAL
1 - 1
RMC
56%
21%
24%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
BAL
38%
24%
39%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EEP
3 - 2
BAL
18%
19%
64%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 1
BAL
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BAL
3 - 1
CAR
63%
20%
17%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |