Minerva vs Alquerias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.4%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Minerva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MAZ
2 - 1
MIN
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MIN
1 - 1
CDA
66%
18%
15%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 0
MIN
56%
20%
24%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
MIN
6 - 0
BEN
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
MIN
62%
19%
19%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Alquerias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
ALQ
0 - 0
JUM
40%
23%
37%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 2
ALQ
78%
15%
7%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
ALQ
1 - 1
SPO
47%
24%
29%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALQ
2 - 0
MAZ
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
CDA
3 - 1
ALQ
75%
15%
10%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |