Sfax Railways vs AS Marsa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.7%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
54.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sfax Railways
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
SFA
1 - 0
ASA
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ESJ
0 - 2
SFA
37%
28%
35%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
SFA
2 - 0
DJE
51%
25%
25%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Dec. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
SFA
52%
27%
22%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
SFA
2 - 0
ROG
55%
24%
21%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
EMM
1 - 3
ASD
28%
25%
47%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
CRO
0 - 0
ASD
19%
26%
55%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2024 |
KAL
0 - 3
ASD
23%
27%
49%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 2024 |
ASD
1 - 0
EMM
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 3
ASD
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | 0 |