SF Oestrich-Iserlohn vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.6%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
63%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Oestrich-Iserlohn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Nov. 2008 |
GEW
5 - 1
SOI
61%
21%
18%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2008 |
SOI
0 - 2
WHE
21%
24%
56%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2008 |
ESS
0 - 1
SOI
52%
22%
26%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
SOI
0 - 2
SWE
34%
25%
42%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
GUT
4 - 2
SOI
60%
21%
19%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
2 - 3
BSC
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 39 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2008 |
KÖL
4 - 0
GUT
76%
17%
8%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
2 - 1
DSC
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 31 | 28 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
VEL
3 - 3
KÖL
15%
22%
63%
|
59 | 27 | 32 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2008 |
KÖL
3 - 1
SCH
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |