SF Baumberg vs TVD Velbert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
9.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
11º
17º
14º
24
10º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
70 | 70 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
69 | 69 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
62 | 62 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
60 | 60 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
53 | 53 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
44 | 44 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
43 | 43 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
42 | 42 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
38 | 38 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
30 | 30 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
29 | 29 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
27 | 27 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
|
18º
|
24 | 24 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 0
MFC
65%
19%
17%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2024 |
SVB
1 - 1
SFB
34%
22%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VFB
2 - 1
SFB
49%
23%
28%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
SCH
8 - 1
SFB
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
SFB
0 - 1
SWE
48%
23%
29%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
TVD Velbert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2024 |
VEL
4 - 0
TDV
81%
12%
7%
|
32 | 50 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
0 - 2
SON
29%
23%
49%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
TDV
2 - 4
NET
42%
22%
36%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
TEU
4 - 0
TDV
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SFN
1 - 2
TDV
36%
22%
42%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |