SF Baumberg vs Schwarz-Weiss Essen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
56.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-52%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
SFB
0 - 1
VEL
16%
22%
63%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SON
4 - 1
SFB
40%
24%
36%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SFB
1 - 1
SCH
14%
19%
67%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
SFB
3 - 1
NET
66%
19%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SFN
3 - 4
SFB
35%
23%
42%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Schwarz-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
SWE
1 - 5
ROT
22%
22%
57%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2025 |
VFB
2 - 1
SWE
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2025 |
SWE
4 - 1
SCH
32%
24%
44%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2025 |
SWE
3 - 1
1FC
68%
19%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
KLE
0 - 0
SWE
21%
25%
54%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |