SF Baumberg vs Mülheimer FC 97 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.1%
6-2
1.1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
5%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
11.8%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.8%
8.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-53%
-40%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
1º
1º
37
9º
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
TDV
2 - 2
SFB
41%
24%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
0 - 0
SWE
54%
22%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
TEU
2 - 5
SFB
20%
19%
61%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SFB
7 - 1
DJK
90%
7%
3%
|
43 | 18 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 3
SFB
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Mülheimer FC 97
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
SWE
2 - 1
MFC
72%
16%
12%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 2
DJK
79%
13%
8%
|
29 | 17 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
2 - 3
MFC
71%
15%
14%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
MFC
1 - 0
SON
28%
22%
50%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
NET
2 - 1
MFC
64%
18%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |