SF Baumberg vs Union Frintrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
89.8%
Win probability
3.64
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.4%
7-0
2.3%
8-1
0.7%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.5%
7-1
1.5%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.4%
6-1
2.8%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.2%
5-1
4.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
15.9%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
7%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
7%
3%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
70
1º
1º
1º
33
7º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
70 | 73 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
57.5% | |
|
3º
|
60 | 63 |
3º
|
57.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
57.5% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 55 |
5º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 54 |
6º
|
48.5% | |
|
15º
|
34 | 53 |
7º
|
4.5% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 53 |
8º
|
23.5% | |
|
8º
|
44 | 45 |
9º
|
71.5% | |
|
9º
|
42 | 43 |
10º
|
38% | |
|
10º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
36% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 38 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 38 |
14º
|
21% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 36 |
15º
|
35% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
33 | 34 |
17º
|
81.5% | |
|
18º
|
29 | 29 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 4% |
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 96% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SF Baumberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
HAM
0 - 3
SFB
26%
21%
53%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
3 - 1
MEE
62%
19%
20%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
KFC
1 - 2
SFB
59%
21%
21%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
SON
63%
19%
18%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2023 |
SFB
2 - 0
BSC
46%
23%
32%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Union Frintrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
MEE
1 - 1
DJK
91%
6%
3%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
0 - 2
SON
14%
18%
67%
|
18 | 34 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2023 |
NET
1 - 1
DJK
84%
11%
6%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
DJK
3 - 2
HIL
3%
8%
89%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | +8 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
DJK
1 - 1
TUS
47%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |