Real Agro Aversa vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LEC
3 - 0
RAA
84%
12%
4%
|
40 | 67 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
0 - 1
REG
28%
26%
46%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BEN
0 - 0
RAA
78%
16%
7%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
MAR
32%
28%
40%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | +3 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ASM
3 - 4
RAA
57%
25%
18%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 0
NUO
25%
25%
51%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
USF
2 - 0
MES
72%
19%
10%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
MES
1 - 2
ASM
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
VIG
2 - 1
MES
47%
28%
26%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MES
0 - 3
JUS
22%
24%
55%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | -1 |