Real Agro Aversa vs Marsala analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
12.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
REN
1 - 1
RAA
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
2 - 0
VIG
67%
20%
13%
|
44 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
CAV
1 - 0
RAA
56%
23%
22%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 2
LEO
58%
23%
18%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
ROC
0 - 2
RAA
45%
25%
29%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Marsala
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
DTO
26%
25%
49%
|
33 | 42 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
GEL
0 - 0
MAR
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
NOT
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 14 Oct. 2015 |
REG
1 - 1
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 1
AGR
21%
22%
57%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |