Seychelles vs Zambia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
73.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
14.9%
0-4
5.9%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2003 |
MUS
0 - 0
SYC
69%
18%
14%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2003 |
SYC
1 - 1
MAD
21%
23%
56%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
SYC
0 - 2
MLI
9%
17%
74%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ERI
1 - 0
SYC
32%
24%
44%
|
45 | 16 | 29 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
SYC
2 - 1
ZIM
12%
20%
68%
|
44 | 77 | 33 | +1 |
Matches
Zambia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2003 |
MWI
4 - 2
ZAM
30%
27%
44%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
ZAM
4 - 2
MOZ
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 60 | 17 | +1 |
| 06 Jul. 2003 |
BEN
3 - 0
ZAM
23%
25%
52%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
1 - 1
SDN
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jun. 2003 |
ZAM
2 - 0
TAN
68%
21%
12%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |