AFCON Qualifying Preliminary Round Final
Global 1-3
Seychelles vs South Sudan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
54.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
16.3%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 1
SYC
51%
22%
27%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
RWA
7 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 3
RWA
13%
21%
66%
|
39 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2019 |
NAM
3 - 0
SYC
74%
18%
9%
|
40 | 66 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2019 |
SYC
0 - 0
MOZ
14%
21%
65%
|
39 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
South Sudan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSD
2 - 1
SYC
51%
22%
27%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
EQG
1 - 0
SSD
59%
22%
20%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 1
EQG
14%
17%
69%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SSD
1 - 2
BDI
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
BDI
2 - 0
SSD
56%
22%
22%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | -1 |