AFCON Qualifying 1st Round Final
Global 0-7
Seychelles vs The Democratic Republic Of Congo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
70.5%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.4%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 3
SYC
44%
25%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
SYC
3 - 0
SWZ
37%
24%
39%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +2 |
| 24 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
2 - 1
SYC
69%
17%
14%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 2011 |
MDV
3 - 0
SYC
67%
18%
15%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
KEN
4 - 0
SYC
70%
19%
12%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
The Democratic Republic Of Congo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
TAN
0 - 0
COD
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
OMA
2 - 2
COD
58%
23%
18%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
COD
5 - 1
SWZ
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
1 - 3
COD
13%
21%
66%
|
72 | 49 | 23 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
LSO
0 - 3
COD
16%
22%
62%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | 0 |