African Nations Championship 1/32
Global 2-3
Seychelles vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
46.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 1
SYC
48%
23%
29%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ETH
2 - 1
SYC
73%
17%
10%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2016 |
ZIM
5 - 0
SYC
76%
17%
7%
|
42 | 69 | 27 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2016 |
SWZ
4 - 0
SYC
63%
22%
16%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 1
MAD
17%
23%
60%
|
44 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2017 |
MUS
2 - 1
SYC
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
MUS
1 - 1
COM
75%
15%
10%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2017 |
COM
2 - 0
MUS
7%
13%
80%
|
47 | 16 | 31 | -3 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
MOZ
1 - 0
MUS
59%
24%
18%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2016 |
ANG
0 - 2
MUS
73%
19%
9%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +2 |