Seychelles vs Mauritius analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
SDN
3 - 0
SYC
70%
18%
13%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2006 |
ZAM
2 - 0
SYC
79%
14%
7%
|
48 | 77 | 29 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2006 |
NAM
2 - 4
SYC
68%
18%
14%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
TAN
34%
25%
41%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
28%
23%
49%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Mauritius
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2006 |
MUS
0 - 0
TUN
6%
19%
75%
|
54 | 86 | 32 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2006 |
SYC
2 - 1
MUS
28%
23%
49%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2006 |
MUS
1 - 2
TAN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
MUS
4 - 5
MOZ
31%
24%
45%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2006 |
ANG
5 - 1
MUS
75%
17%
8%
|
57 | 78 | 21 | -1 |