Seychelles vs Madagascar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
60.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2016 |
SYC
0 - 2
ALG
11%
21%
69%
|
44 | 81 | 37 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2016 |
LSO
2 - 1
SYC
53%
25%
23%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
SYC
2 - 0
LSO
22%
22%
55%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Oct. 2015 |
BDI
2 - 0
SYC
67%
20%
13%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2015 |
SYC
0 - 1
BDI
17%
20%
63%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Madagascar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 6
COD
15%
21%
64%
|
57 | 76 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CTA
2 - 1
MAD
9%
18%
73%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
MAD
1 - 1
CTA
79%
15%
6%
|
57 | 20 | 37 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2015 |
SEN
3 - 0
MAD
75%
18%
7%
|
57 | 82 | 25 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2015 |
MAD
2 - 2
SEN
13%
23%
64%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |