Seychelles vs Botswana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
54.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seychelles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
SYC
1 - 2
COM
79%
14%
7%
|
47 | 9 | 38 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
SWZ
2 - 1
SYC
48%
25%
27%
|
48 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
TUN
5 - 0
SYC
89%
9%
2%
|
48 | 87 | 39 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
SYC
1 - 2
BDI
39%
24%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2008 |
SYC
0 - 1
SWZ
42%
24%
34%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botswana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 0
SWZ
59%
24%
18%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
COM
0 - 0
BOT
17%
23%
61%
|
65 | 9 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2009 |
CHN
4 - 1
BOT
78%
15%
7%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
BOT
1 - 1
IRN
15%
26%
60%
|
65 | 91 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2009 |
BOT
0 - 0
NZL
26%
25%
48%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | +1 |