Sevilla vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.2%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.5%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.7%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
1.1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.8%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.4%
7-2
0.6%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.4%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
4.4%
6-2
1.2%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
6.7%
5-2
2.2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.4%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
1.4%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
11.3%
7.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
SEV
5 - 0
RSO
73%
15%
12%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
ATM
2 - 1
SEV
62%
18%
20%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
FCB
45%
22%
33%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
SEV
3 - 1
ESP
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
DEP
0 - 1
SEV
39%
24%
38%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec. 1953 |
DEP
6 - 0
RJA
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 1953 |
RJA
2 - 2
OVI
58%
21%
22%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1953 |
RAC
3 - 1
RJA
74%
15%
11%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 1953 |
RJA
1 - 3
ATH
28%
22%
50%
|
67 | 86 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1953 |
OSA
2 - 0
RJA
57%
21%
22%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |