Sevilla At. vs Lucena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.4%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
21%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ECI
6 - 0
SEV
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
ALB
1 - 0
SEV
60%
23%
17%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 2
CPC
50%
25%
25%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
UCA
2 - 0
SEV
19%
25%
56%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SEV
4 - 0
BET
71%
17%
11%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lucena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
1 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2013 |
LUC
0 - 2
BAL
50%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
LOJ
0 - 0
LUC
28%
28%
44%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LUC
1 - 1
SAN
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUC
2 - 0
CAD
43%
26%
31%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |