Sever Murmansk vs Leningradets Gatchina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.4%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
5.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
12.3%
7.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+128%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
1º
1º
21
2º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
PSK
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
SEV
10%
15%
75%
|
46 | 23 | 23 | 0 |
| 16 Jun. 2023 |
KKO
0 - 4
SEV
9%
14%
77%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
KAR
1 - 2
SEV
12%
17%
71%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TOS
1 - 4
SEV
75%
16%
8%
|
42 | 62 | 20 | +3 |
Matches
Leningradets Gatchina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
PSK
0 - 2
SLG
53%
22%
26%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
KKO
0 - 2
SLG
35%
21%
43%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
SLG
3 - 0
KAR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2023 |
TOS
1 - 6
SLG
80%
14%
6%
|
22 | 62 | 40 | +2 |
| 28 Jun. 2022 |
SLG
0 - 1
PSK
33%
23%
45%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |