Sever Murmansk vs SSh 2 VO Zvezda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.2%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.8%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.1%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.6%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
11.6%
6.6%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
1º
1º
1º
7
5º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
22 | 31 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
21 | 30 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
17 | 20 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
10 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 12 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 10 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sever Murmansk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2023 |
PSK
1 - 2
SEV
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
SLG
2 - 1
SEV
14%
17%
70%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | -2 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SEV
4 - 0
KKO
88%
9%
4%
|
46 | 20 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
3 - 0
SLG
80%
12%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
SEV
1 - 1
PSK
75%
17%
9%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
SSh 2 VO Zvezda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 1
KAR
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KKO
1 - 4
SVZ
32%
21%
47%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
SVZ
5 - 3
SLG
27%
21%
52%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SVZ
2 - 3
TOS
13%
21%
66%
|
22 | 61 | 39 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SVZ
1 - 3
SEV
10%
15%
75%
|
23 | 46 | 23 | -1 |