4ª Catalana Promotion Play-offs Semi-finals
Global 4-4
Seva vs Aiguafreda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
50.5%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.1%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Seva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
CTS
1 - 10
SEV
8%
12%
80%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 1
TAR
55%
21%
24%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
SEV
3 - 2
UET
89%
8%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2025 |
VRR
0 - 4
SEV
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
SMB
3 - 0
SEV
68%
17%
15%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aiguafreda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
VRR
0 - 2
AIG
9%
14%
77%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
AIG
5 - 1
VIL
93%
5%
2%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
COL
2 - 3
AIG
17%
17%
65%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
AIG
4 - 1
FIG
94%
4%
2%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
UEG
3 - 3
AIG
15%
16%
69%
|
24 | 15 | 9 | 0 |