Sesimbra vs União Montemor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.1%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FAR
2 - 0
SES
84%
12%
3%
|
26 | 72 | 46 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
SES
1 - 0
MES
44%
24%
32%
|
26 | 28 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
SES
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SES
2 - 3
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
União Montemor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 1
DES
84%
11%
4%
|
37 | 10 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
LAG
2 - 2
UNI
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
UNI
1 - 0
QUA
45%
24%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
UNI
36%
24%
40%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
FAB
11%
22%
67%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +2 |