Sesimbra vs Monte Trigo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.9%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.2%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
FCC
1 - 1
SES
37%
24%
39%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
SES
0 - 2
MOU
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
SES
3 - 1
LUS
16%
22%
63%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +2 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
SES
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
SES
46%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Trigo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MON
1 - 0
VAS
37%
24%
39%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
ALJ
2 - 0
MON
62%
21%
18%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2012 |
LAG
1 - 0
MON
76%
15%
9%
|
23 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
MON
1 - 1
ATL
22%
23%
54%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
JUV
0 - 0
MON
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | +1 |