Sesimbra vs Messinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
RED
0 - 1
SES
32%
25%
44%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
SES
1 - 0
LAG
44%
24%
32%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SES
2 - 3
ALJ
49%
23%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
FAB
1 - 0
SES
83%
13%
5%
|
25 | 69 | 44 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
DES
1 - 1
SES
11%
19%
70%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Messinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
MES
0 - 0
DES
85%
11%
4%
|
28 | 10 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
LAG
3 - 1
MES
69%
18%
13%
|
29 | 39 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
QUA
2 - 1
MES
65%
19%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
MES
3 - 2
PES
46%
24%
30%
|
28 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
UNI
2 - 1
MES
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | -1 |