Sesimbra vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.9%
22%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
62.6%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
12.2%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sesimbra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
UNI
2 - 2
SES
67%
19%
15%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
VAS
2 - 2
SES
46%
23%
30%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SES
2 - 1
ALJ
42%
24%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
LAG
7 - 2
SES
65%
20%
16%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SES
1 - 1
ATL
31%
24%
45%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
LUS
2 - 2
VAS
80%
14%
6%
|
55 | 27 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
ALJ
1 - 0
LUS
14%
22%
64%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
LUS
1 - 1
LAG
76%
16%
8%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ATL
1 - 1
LUS
19%
23%
58%
|
56 | 38 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
LUS
0 - 2
JUV
77%
15%
8%
|
57 | 38 | 19 | -1 |