Serzedelo vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
29.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serzedelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 3
SER
11%
19%
70%
|
31 | 10 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SER
1 - 1
AMA
75%
16%
9%
|
33 | 18 | 15 | -2 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JOA
1 - 2
SER
69%
18%
13%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
SER
40%
25%
36%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
SER
3 - 1
PED
32%
25%
43%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
JOA
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |