Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
37.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
55
1º
7º
2º
51
2º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
55 | 55 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 47 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
SIO
1 - 1
SER
42%
25%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
STG
1 - 0
SER
48%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2025 |
SER
0 - 1
YOB
42%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
LUG
0 - 2
SER
43%
25%
32%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SER
2 - 3
YVE
48%
25%
28%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
FCL
5 - 0
YOB
41%
26%
33%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
GCZ
3 - 1
FCL
35%
25%
40%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
FCL
1 - 1
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
LAU
1 - 4
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2025 |
FCL
3 - 1
NEX
66%
20%
14%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |