Servette vs Luzern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
59.6%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
STG
0 - 2
SER
18%
23%
59%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
OLD
2 - 1
SER
12%
21%
66%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
WIN
4 - 0
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
LEM
59%
23%
17%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2015 |
SER
1 - 2
SCH
47%
25%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luzern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2015 |
FCL
0 - 1
STG
47%
25%
28%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 3
BAS
26%
23%
51%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
THU
0 - 1
FCL
43%
25%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
YOB
1 - 1
FCL
54%
22%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2015 |
FCL
1 - 4
BVB
15%
20%
65%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | 0 |