Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.1%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
SER
2 - 1
YOB
18%
22%
60%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
0 - 3
FCL
35%
26%
38%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
51%
23%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2023 |
RTK
0 - 3
SER
5%
10%
85%
|
76 | 41 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
GCZ
2 - 1
LUG
27%
24%
49%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
COM
2 - 2
LUG
24%
23%
53%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
1 - 1
SER
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZUR
39%
26%
36%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIO
1 - 1
LUG
22%
24%
54%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |