Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
19.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
SER
2 - 0
CHI
71%
19%
10%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
LAC
0 - 3
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2013 |
SCH
3 - 0
SER
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
BIE
1 - 1
SER
38%
25%
37%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SER
0 - 0
LOC
72%
18%
10%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 3
WIN
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
ETO
1 - 4
LUG
18%
21%
61%
|
64 | 47 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
CHI
65%
21%
14%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
WOH
1 - 1
LUG
31%
26%
43%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2013 |
LUG
1 - 1
BIE
49%
24%
27%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |