Servette vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.6%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.2%
8.2%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LAC
1 - 2
SER
23%
24%
53%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
SER
4 - 1
YVE
71%
19%
11%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
BAU
1 - 0
SER
11%
20%
70%
|
71 | 48 | 23 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
SER
4 - 2
KRI
73%
18%
10%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
WIN
2 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2006 |
LUG
4 - 1
LAU
30%
26%
45%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
DEL
1 - 0
LUG
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 2
WIL
43%
26%
31%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
FCV
1 - 0
LUG
62%
21%
17%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LUG
2 - 2
YFJ
66%
21%
13%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |