Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
SER
2 - 0
WOH
56%
24%
20%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2017 |
ZUR
1 - 1
SER
66%
21%
14%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
NEX
1 - 0
SER
64%
20%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SER
2 - 2
CHI
63%
23%
15%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2017 |
SCH
2 - 1
SER
46%
25%
30%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2017 |
FCA
2 - 3
CHI
67%
20%
13%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
LEM
1 - 0
FCA
18%
23%
59%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2017 |
FCA
4 - 0
WIL
69%
19%
12%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
SCH
4 - 0
FCA
41%
24%
34%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2017 |
FCA
3 - 1
ZUR
25%
24%
51%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | +1 |