Servette vs Aarau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.9%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
18.1%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
NEX
1 - 3
SER
33%
25%
42%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2001 |
SER
1 - 4
BAS
50%
24%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2001 |
SLP
1 - 1
SER
52%
24%
24%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
ZUR
0 - 3
SER
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2001 |
SER
1 - 0
SLP
45%
26%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aarau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2001 |
FCA
2 - 2
SIO
48%
24%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
FCA
1 - 0
GCZ
26%
23%
50%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2001 |
FCA
3 - 1
LUG
38%
26%
36%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2001 |
YOB
2 - 1
FCA
49%
24%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2001 |
NEX
0 - 0
FCA
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |