Servette II vs Lutry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.5%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Servette II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
STA
2 - 1
SER
29%
24%
47%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
SER
4 - 0
USC
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
SBC
1 - 2
SER
24%
23%
53%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SER
9 - 1
CSC
73%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CHI
1 - 4
SER
9%
17%
74%
|
41 | 11 | 30 | -1 |
Matches
Lutry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FCL
2 - 1
SIE
34%
23%
43%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
FCR
0 - 2
FCL
36%
24%
40%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
1 - 1
MON
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
PER
3 - 2
FCL
41%
24%
35%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
FCL
3 - 3
COL
40%
24%
36%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |