Serverense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.9%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ALL
3 - 1
SER
45%
24%
31%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
SVE
3 - 4
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SER
0 - 2
CAM
52%
22%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
UNI
0 - 1
SER
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
SER
1 - 2
UDR
30%
23%
47%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
PET
59%
21%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
AND
23%
22%
55%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
SJO
3 - 1
ATL
36%
26%
38%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
0 - 1
UDA
75%
16%
9%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
ATL
2 - 1
IMA
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |