Serverense vs Atletico Rafal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Serverense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
UNI
1 - 2
SER
32%
24%
44%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
SIN
59%
20%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CDG
1 - 4
SER
54%
21%
25%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
SER
3 - 1
MNC
40%
24%
37%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SNF
1 - 0
SER
52%
22%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Atletico Rafal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 4
RLV
47%
22%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 1
UNI
37%
25%
38%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
SIN
0 - 1
ATL
73%
16%
11%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 3
CDG
27%
24%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
MNC
2 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |