Sertãozinho vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
SER
2 - 0
UNI
30%
25%
46%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
RIO
1 - 0
SER
53%
24%
23%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
5 - 2
SER
68%
19%
14%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SER
1 - 1
CAT
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
FER
2 - 1
SER
52%
24%
25%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
MON
2 - 1
AME
56%
23%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
UNI
1 - 1
MON
54%
23%
24%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2011 |
COM
1 - 0
MON
35%
25%
40%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
MON
0 - 0
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 1
MON
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |