Sertãozinho vs Mogi Mirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.1%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertãozinho
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
PEN
1 - 1
SER
49%
25%
26%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
SER
3 - 0
UNI
45%
26%
28%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
GUA
5 - 0
SER
50%
26%
25%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
SER
1 - 0
RIO
40%
27%
34%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
VEL
1 - 0
SER
34%
27%
39%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mogi Mirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
MOG
1 - 0
GUA
31%
26%
43%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
OES
2 - 0
MOG
51%
25%
24%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VOT
2 - 0
MOG
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
3 - 1
BAT
38%
26%
36%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MOG
0 - 4
PEN
32%
26%
42%
|
53 | 60 | 7 | -1 |