Sertanense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.9%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
44.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
1º
9º
7º
55
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
55 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 51 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
39 | 39 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 38 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
25 | 25 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SER
0 - 2
AMA
39%
28%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
LUS
3 - 1
SER
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -2 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
SER
3 - 2
RAB
39%
29%
32%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
SER
1 - 1
MAR
43%
29%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
PEN
72%
18%
9%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
DUM
4 - 3
USA
20%
21%
59%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 4
USA
33%
27%
40%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
USA
6 - 0
PAN
76%
15%
10%
|
47 | 11 | 36 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
PEN
83%
13%
5%
|
48 | 26 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
BEN
0 - 0
USA
28%
27%
45%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |