Sertanense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.9%
23.1%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
9º
6º
48
2º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 37% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 63% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
BEN
1 - 1
SER
39%
27%
34%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SER
2 - 0
UDR
53%
25%
22%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
MAR
0 - 0
SER
26%
28%
47%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SER
1 - 2
1DE
60%
25%
16%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RAB
2 - 1
SER
22%
23%
55%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
USA
1 - 0
ALC
81%
12%
7%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
LOU
1 - 1
USA
46%
24%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
USA
2 - 1
PER
46%
24%
30%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
COR
1 - 1
USA
37%
24%
39%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
USA
1 - 1
SIN
30%
27%
43%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |