Sertanense vs União Santarém analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.7%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.7%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
CAL
0 - 0
SER
45%
27%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2019 |
VIT
0 - 0
SER
26%
26%
48%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
RDA
1 - 1
SER
61%
23%
16%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
FAT
0 - 2
SER
51%
23%
27%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
SER
30%
23%
48%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
União Santarém
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2019 |
USA
1 - 4
PRA
6%
16%
79%
|
18 | 52 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
CON
0 - 1
USA
77%
14%
9%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
USA
2 - 3
BEN
8%
15%
77%
|
18 | 46 | 28 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
USA
1 - 2
FAR
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 63 | 45 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
UDL
6 - 0
USA
88%
10%
3%
|
18 | 51 | 33 | 0 |