Sertanense vs União Madeira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.7%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.9%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.5%
73.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
14.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.2%
0-3
10.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.5%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sertanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 2
SER
28%
26%
46%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
83%
12%
5%
|
44 | 22 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SER
0 - 2
MAR
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 21 | 23 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
BEN
1 - 0
SER
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SER
2 - 1
MAR
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
União Madeira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
UNM
0 - 2
LEX
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 1
UNM
36%
28%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
2 - 2
SCP
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2017 |
GFC
1 - 0
UNM
33%
28%
40%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
UNM
3 - 0
ACA
51%
27%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |